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Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Broadcom's share price rose to 15% in the US after hours."Shanghai housing subsidy is 300,000 yuan" and "down payment is 20,000 yuan to buy 1.8 million hardcover existing houses"? Rumor has come. Recently, there have been a number of housing advertisements on the short video platform. The agent who released the housing claimed that he could receive the "housing subsidy" when buying a house in Shanghai, with the amount ranging from 200,000 yuan to 300,000 yuan. An intermediary declared: "Shanghai Songjiang New Town has a total price of 760,000 yuan and a housing subsidy of 250,000 yuan." "After receiving the subsidy, you can buy a 78-square-meter house with a down payment of 50,000 yuan." There is also an intermediary who claims: "The minimum payment can be only 20,000 yuan, and you can buy a finely decorated existing house with a total price of 1.8 million yuan." The reporter consulted a number of intermediaries and learned that the so-called "purchase subsidies" appearing in short videos are not government subsidies, but gimmicks. When the house-watchers consult subsidies on the spot, different intermediaries will have different calibers. Usually, there are three routines-one is to raise the price first and then lower the price. Second, the so-called "subsidy" is actually that developers lend money to buyers to pay down payment, and buyers have to pay interest. Third, the commission returned by the intermediary to the buyers is packaged as a "subsidy". (Shanghai rumor platform)

Market information: FTSE Film will increase the output of CMP slurry in Korea by 30%.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.IDC: In the third quarter, global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. On December 13th, IDC reported that global intelligent sweeping robots shipped 5.014 million units, up 11.1% year-on-year. Among them, the domestic market was boosted by the trade-in of old models at the end of September, with 1.321 million units shipped, up by 17% year-on-year, and the efforts of most provinces were around 20%, which significantly stimulated the shipment of high-end models, and this trend also continued to this year's "Double Eleven". The proportion of overseas sales of China manufacturers continues to increase, and the competition of high-end all-around models in European and American markets is still fierce.

Shanghai's "trade-in" has driven consumption to exceed 10 billion yuan. According to the statistics of Shanghai Jiaodian Household Appliances Business Association, as of December 11, Shanghai's household appliances consumption subsidy activities have achieved remarkable results, and the number of people participating in the trade-in of household appliances in Shanghai has exceeded 3.57 million. The sales of eight categories of household appliances, including air conditioners, computers and refrigerators, covered by the state subsidy increased by 30%-40% year-on-year. During the implementation of the policy, the cumulative amount of subsidies reached 1.165 billion yuan, and the consumption of household appliances and household products by all platforms exceeded 10 billion yuan. (Liberation Daily)["Shanghai housing subsidy of 300,000 yuan" and "down payment of 20,000 yuan for 1.8 million hardcover existing houses"? Rumor has come] Recently, there have been a number of housing advertisements on the short video platform. The agent who released the housing claimed that he could receive the "housing subsidy" when buying a house in Shanghai, with the amount ranging from 200,000 yuan to 300,000 yuan. An intermediary declared: "Shanghai Songjiang New Town has a total price of 760,000 yuan and a housing subsidy of 250,000 yuan." "After receiving the subsidy, you can buy a 78-square-meter house with a down payment of 50,000 yuan." There is also an intermediary who claims: "The minimum payment can be only 20,000 yuan, and you can buy a finely decorated existing house with a total price of 1.8 million yuan." The reporter consulted a number of intermediaries and learned that the so-called "purchase subsidies" appearing in short videos are not government subsidies, but gimmicks. When the house-watchers consult subsidies on the spot, different intermediaries will have different calibers. Usually, there are three routines-one is to raise the price first and then lower the price. Second, the so-called "subsidy" is actually that developers lend money to buyers to pay down payment, and buyers have to pay interest. Third, the commission returned by the intermediary to the buyers is packaged as a "subsidy". (Shanghai rumor platform)Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)